Japa: Mathematicians develop model to address brain drain crisis

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A team of mathematicians led by Dr. Adejimi Adeniji has developed the JAPA Model, a groundbreaking mathematical tool designed to analyse and address Nigeria’s escalating brain drain problem.

The term japa has become synonymous with the mass exodus of skilled Nigerians seeking better opportunities abroad, a phenomenon that has had a significant impact on the country’s development.

The JAPA model was published in the Scientific African Journal in August 2024, as contained in a statement signed by Dr Adeniji on Sunday.

According to Dr. Adeniji, the JAPA Model considers key variables such as the population size of the country, the availability of opportunities, the population of emigrants and the number of returnees, providing an in-depth analysis of migration trends. The model highlights critical insights, including the persistent desire to emigrate economic factors, political climate and research priorities.

The statement read, “The study’s findings, derived from rigorous data analysis and simulation for model validation, strongly suggest that to effectively combat brain drain, African governments, particularly Nigeria must significantly enhance local opportunities for skilled professionals. Additionally, fostering favorable working conditions and offering competitive compensation are crucial strategies not only for retaining qualified individuals but also for encouraging the return of those who have already emigrated.

“This is a promising sign for the country’s future, provided we can maintain these improvements.”

The model, Adeniji continued, underscores the importance of targeted policies to address brain drain, suggesting that improving local conditions could significantly curtail the emigration of skilled professionals.

“Furthermore, the fluctuating availability of opportunities directly correlates with migration trends, indicating the need for stable and sustainable economic growth to retain talent.

“The JAPA Model is expected to serve as a critical tool for policymakers as they seek to develop strategies that will not only curb emigration but also encourage the return of Nigeria’s skilled workforce, a crucial factor for the country’s long-term growth”, Adeniji said.

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